Insights
Market Strategy
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Market Strategy
Global Cross Asset Strategy: Tightening of Lending Standards Could Replace Some Rate Hikes
- The Fed hiked 25bps in the March meeting, as expected.
- The fed funds futures market is once again pricing in rate cuts by end-2023. At Bulltick, we have long held that 2023 would usher in the next phase of the economic cycle, recession, but we do not think inflation will fall enough by end-2023 to allow the Fed to cut rates.
- We hold our broad global macro strategy view, one that has worked well since last year, one that is defensive in nature and relies on overweights in sectors that historically outperform in stagflation and recession: healthcare, staples, energy and utilities.
March 28, 2023
Market Strategy
Perspectivas Macro Globales 2023
- EE.UU en desaceleración. Nunca ha habido una recesión sin que los indicadores líderes estuvieron negativos. La inflación está impulsada por los salarios. Tasa de desempleo y confianza al consumidor como indicadores de recesión. La curva invertida indica recesión inminente. Bienes raíces en recesión y prediciendo recesión. Taylor Rule indica una tasa fed funds mucho más arriba. Hoy en día hay dos trabajos disponibles por cada desempleo; cuando eso baja, la tasa de desempleo sube.
- Equity Risk Premium en Europa y Reino Unido abajo del promedio
- China: La política cero COVID golpeó fuertemente a China
March 9, 2023
Media
Bulltick's team on television networks
Bulltick in the media
Kathryn Rooney Vera on FOX
Fed, economic recession and perspectives for 2023
March 27, 2023
Bulltick in the media
Kathryn Rooney Vera en PROTECCION SA
Conversamos con Kathryn Rooney Vera sobre la posible recesión y otros temas
March 22, 2023
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Bulltick's podcasts
What a Week!
February 4, 2022
Bulltick's podcasts
January Recap
January 31, 2022
Conferences
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Conferences
Las elecciones en Estados Unidos, análisis de resultados y las implicaciones para el mundo.
Keynote speaker: Ambassador Arturo Sarukhan.
Moderator: Humberto Bañuelos and Cecilia Ramos.
NOW YOU CAN HEAR THE LAST CONFERENCE:
November 5, 2020